Skip Ribbon Commands
Skip to main content
South African Reserve Bank
 
 
     
 
 

Theo Janse van Rensburg 

Theo Janse van Rensburg use.JPG

Email: Theo.JansevanRensburg@resbank.co.za
Biography: Theo Janse van Rensburg joined the SA Reserve Bank (SARB) in October 2013 as a Deputy Head in the Research Department where he is currently Head of the Policy Analysis Unit. Before joining the SARB, he worked at the World Bank (2009-2013), where he was one of the co-authors of the World Bank’s flagship publication: “Global Economic Prospects (GEP)”. Prior to that Theo worked at the South African National Treasury (1999-2009), where he was the Chief Director for Modelling and Forecasting. His principal responsibilities included the development of the macro economic forecasts and the macro economic framework on which the country’s Budget and Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) is based. Theo holds a master’s degree in economics (including post graduate courses in investment management) as well as a higher education diploma from the University of the Free State in South Africa.
Current research interests: Macro economics, Econometrics, Modelling
Recent publications:
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2010 (January): Crisis, Finance, and Growth
http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/308811443469733024/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2010-Crisis-finance-and-growth.pdf
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2010 (June): Fiscal Headwinds and Recovery
http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/416811443469747507/Global-Economic-Prospects-June-2010-Fiscal-headwinds-and-recovery.pdf
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2011 (January): Navigating Strong Currents
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/784271468331174174/pdf/586370CORRIGEN1closed0Jan0140201101.pdf
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2011 (June): Maintaining Progress amid Turmoil
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/737801468150879923/pdf/632530NWP0Glob00Box0361511B0PUBLIC0.pdf
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2012 (June): Managing Growth in a Volatile World
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/334934-1322593305595/8287139-1339427993716/GEPJune2012_Full_Report.pdf
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2013 (January): Assuring growth over the medium term
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/334934-1322593305595/8287139-1358278153255/GEP13AFinalFullReport_.pdf
Burns, A., Janse van Rensburg, T., Dybczak, K., and Bui, T., 2014, Estimating Potential Output in Developing Countries, Journal of Policy Modeling Volume 36, Elsevier.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893814000519
Janse van Rensburg, T., Visser, E., and Meyer, D., 2017, 'Credit where it's due: Identifying the drivers of weak credit growth in South Africa', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes ,OBEN/17/01, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/7731/OBEN%201701.pdf
Janse van Rensburg, T., Visser, E., 'To zero and beyond? Estimating South Africa's structural trade balance', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/17/02, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/7851/OBEN%201702.pdf
Janse van Rensburg, T., Alton, T., 'Getting to the core of it', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/17/03, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/8057/OBEN%201703.pdf
Janse van Rensburg, T., Visser, E., 'Decoupling from global growth - Is confidence becoming a scarce commodity?', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/17/04, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/8057/OBEN%201703.pdf
Visser, E., Fowkes, D. and Janse van Rensburg, T., 'Onwards and downwards - The changing role of administered prices in headline inflation', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/18/01, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/8281/OBEN1801.pdf
Fowkes, D., Janse van Rensburg, T., and Alton T, ‘Inflation expectations and the outlook for services prices’, South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/18/02, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/Attachments/8871/03OBEN1802Inflation%20expectations%20and%20outlook%20for%20services%20prices-David%20Fowkes-Theo%20Janse%20van%20Rensburg-Theresa%20Alton.pdf
Janse van Rensburg, T., Fowkes, D., and Visser, E., ‘What happened to the cycle? Reflection on a perennial negative output gap', South African Reserve Bank Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes, OBEN/19/01, South Africa.
https://www.resbank.co.za/Research/Pages/Occasional-Bulletin-of-Economic-Notes.aspx
 
 
     
 
 
Sign In
Researcher Profiles Help (new window)